Of course I'm insured; I'm not playing at being a mechanic. I was referring to marks on the back plate for an indicator of being a tooth out, granted they aren't perfect but do serve. Re: the eccentrics the one between the banks has a limited range of movement before again the marks drift away from back plate notches, and if the other one is too far out the tensioner won't get enough tension on the belt and can be seen to be sitting wrong.
When I said about the pulleys looking at each other I meant with the green tool a tooth on one pulley opposes a trough on the other pulley. The red tool leaves the centre lines of a tooth on each pulley looking at each other.
So in my opinion with a little bit of prior knowledge (or instruction) of how the pulleys sit when correctly adjusted, its entirely possible to make a perfect job of timing without a kit.
Also for the record the mark on the front pulley is a perfect datum for the centre of TDC, I verified it with a degree wheel and DTI.
With some observation of the positions before removing the old parts and a bit of patience anything is do able. If I bought the locking kit for every car I worked on I would never make any money, and I've not had an issue yet.
I've watched a "professional" electrician, with numerous qualifications and some very expensive tools, work on an electrical installation without isolating it, because "if you know what you are doing you don't need to switch it all off, and shutting down/restarting all those systems would take far too long ...." .... less than 10 minutes later I was giving him mouth-to-mouth and CPR whilst a colleague was calling for paramedics and a de-fibulator (luckily he did survive)....
My point is ... familiarity can breed contempt, and even "experts" can get it wrong,... and as dbug said .... the forum is aimed at the amateur DIYer.. not the professional business owner.
I've had cam-belts done twice, by very helpful, semi-professional, members of the forum, and they both used the correct kit.